grif32 wrote:
Grapesoda, again all you have to do is a quick google search and you will see the following STILL make active TV's
Panansonic
Samsung
LG - Makes both Passive and Active -http://www.amazon.com/LG-60PZ550-60-Inch-Internet-Applications/dp/B004LU1N2Y/ref=sr_1_2?ie=UTF8&qid=...
Sony
And I am sure Sharp is still coming out with an Active 3D this year as well.
Thos are all "Big Boys" as you put it. Also Panny, Samsung, Sony and Xpand are teaming together to make one standard Active Glasses to use for all 3 instead of having to use panny for panny, sony for sony etc.
http://www.engadget.com/2011/08/08/panasonic-sony-samsung-and-xpand-finally-team-up-for-an-active/
OLED is coming out no doubt but being affordable is a different animal. They are talking about the first TV being 55" and around $8,000. That's insane and sure it will sell to those who are crazy rich but it won't sell to the masses just like the Sharp Elite hasn't.
Sales for 3D in general Active or Passive both are not doing well. Lets face it they are not flying off the shelf. Active TV's are Cheaper and Panny puts out the Best TV's period and are cheaper then LED 3D TV's comparing apples to apples. You are right the glasses are pricey but they are dropping like crazy.
LG- discontinued (was only plasma in the first place)
Tohsiba - does not make enough TVs to count
Sony - Changing tech due to huge loss
Sammy and pana which was my original argument. Both on razor thin TV profit margins
The elites are only for hardcore AV guys and most people still go on about how they are not better than a kuro. TVs over 5k are like a 1.2b market to its not a small as you think for just consumer.... I don't have any real data for professional TVs though that are used in all sorts of industries so I cant give any figures there.
Passive 3D TVs had a 30% increase in 2011 over projections check npd or Isupply. Most people think they are selling slowly but they are picking up faster than expected if any thing Smart TVs which many outlets said 2012 35% of all TVs is looking to be closer to 25%. I am not sure if people just want TVs with 3D and not smart features or some other market force is driving them.
I think active 3D is just not viable economically to produce the emmiters and bluetooth tech are far more expensive than the FPR tech eventully they will have to sell the glasses at a loss to get market share. Passive will overtake sales until autostereoscopic becomes possible in the 3k range.
Back to Oleds, these will probably sell enough to recoup RnD by a fair margin (not marketing or manufactoring costs). They only need to sell about 6,000 per state to do that and that is US only throw the rest of the world in there and the number drops by a lot. Holiday 2012 will probably see them into 5k range and a huge bosst in sales. Holiday 2013 will move them in to the 3k-4k range and after that probably growth until the dominate the market at 80%+ of TVs because they are so cheap to produce at that point with printed Oleds that all other tech LCD/LED LCD/Plasma is just to costly or old to produce except for CRT/DLP because those will still cheap to produce as well.
